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dc.contributor.authorFábrega, José
dc.contributor.authorNakaegawa, Tosiyuki
dc.contributor.authorPinzón, Reinhardt
dc.contributor.authorNakayama, Keisuke
dc.contributor.authorArakawa, Osamu
dc.date.accessioned2018-03-22T14:33:03Z
dc.date.accessioned2018-03-22T14:33:03Z
dc.date.available2018-03-22T14:33:03Z
dc.date.available2018-03-22T14:33:03Z
dc.date.issued2013-03-31
dc.date.issued2013-03-31
dc.identifierhttps://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/hrl/7/2/7_23/_article/-char/ja/
dc.identifier.issn1882-3416
dc.identifier.urihttp://ridda2.utp.ac.pa/handle/123456789/4444
dc.identifier.urihttp://ridda2.utp.ac.pa/handle/123456789/4444
dc.descriptionThis work analyzes hydroclimate projections in Panama toward the end of the 21st century by employing the MRIAGCM3.1 model. Understanding the impact of climate change on water resources is fundamental for a number of economic activities in Panama (i.e. Panama Canal operation, hydropower generation, and agriculture). Therefore, it is important to assess hydroclimatic impacts in specific basins using reliable Atmospheric Global Circulation Models (AGCMs) validated against actual field data. A 20-km mesh experiment was developed by using time-sliced analysis for current (1979–2002) and future (2075–2099) periods. Uncertainty in climate projections were addressed by completing 60-km mesh AGCM ensemble experiments at three additional lower boundary conditions. Four regions in Panama were selected for detailed analysis: from east to west, Bocas del Toro, Veraguas, Panama Canal and Darien. Projections show significant precipitation increases from May and July to December for all regions except Bocas del Toro. In this region, a decrease in precipitation is expected between April and August. Total runoff for all regions followed the changes in precipitation as expected. Due to net radiation increases, projected evaporation did not appear to be affected by precipitation changes.
dc.description.abstractThis work analyzes hydroclimate projections in Panama toward the end of the 21st century by employing the MRIAGCM3.1 model. Understanding the impact of climate change on water resources is fundamental for a number of economic activities in Panama (i.e. Panama Canal operation, hydropower generation, and agriculture). Therefore, it is important to assess hydroclimatic impacts in specific basins using reliable Atmospheric Global Circulation Models (AGCMs) validated against actual field data. A 20-km mesh experiment was developed by using time-sliced analysis for current (1979–2002) and future (2075–2099) periods. Uncertainty in climate projections were addressed by completing 60-km mesh AGCM ensemble experiments at three additional lower boundary conditions. Four regions in Panama were selected for detailed analysis: from east to west, Bocas del Toro, Veraguas, Panama Canal and Darien. Projections show significant precipitation increases from May and July to December for all regions except Bocas del Toro. In this region, a decrease in precipitation is expected between April and August. Total runoff for all regions followed the changes in precipitation as expected. Due to net radiation increases, projected evaporation did not appear to be affected by precipitation changes.en_US
dc.languageeng
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.rightshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectPanamaen_US
dc.subjecthydroclimate projectionen_US
dc.subjectMRIAGCM3.1en_US
dc.subjectprecipitationen_US
dc.subjectevaporationen_US
dc.subjecttotal runoffen_US
dc.subjectPanama
dc.subjecthydroclimate projection
dc.subjectMRIAGCM3.1
dc.subjectprecipitation
dc.subjectevaporation
dc.subjecttotal runoff
dc.titleHydroclimate projections for Panama in the late 21st Centuryen_US
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


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